Saturday, January 09, 2016

Raoul Pal Explains What Indicators He Looks At To Decide If The Next Crisis Has Arrived


...ISM

...It's the Fed’s job to say things are good because it’s about expectations management. Whether we like it or not it’s a behavioral economics world and I’m realizing that more and more that you need to look at how behavior and incentive schemes are done. So she has to say that. She’s not going to say, “Oh, my God, the economy is looking terrible” until she has to because then you flip around the expectations.


Hoosier's note: Raoul Pal is a very smart guy.